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IRFC IPO: India’s 1st PSU NBFC issue opens Monday, grey market premium weak; should you subscribe?

IRFC IPO: India’s 1st PSU NBFC issue opens Monday, grey market premium weak; should you subscribe?

The Rs 4,633-crore Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) initial public offer (IPO) is set to open for subscription on Monday, January 18, 2021, in the price band of Rs 25-26 apiece. At the upper end of the price band, IRFC would raise Rs 4,455 crore, and at the lower end, Rs 4,633 crore. The anchor book will open today (Friday, January 15, 2021) and will be allocated up to 60 per cent of the portion reserved for QIBs, to build investor confidence on the IPO. This is for the first time that a PSU enterprise is using the anchor-investor route. In the grey market, IRFC shares were seen trading with a muted premium of Rs 1.60 apiece over the issue price. This is the first public issue by a railway non-banking financial company (NBFC).

Railway company to list


Up to 50 pe rcent of the net offer will be reserved for qualified institutional buyers (QIBs), 15 per cent for non-institutional buyers and remaining 35 per cent for retail investors. Earlier in April 2017, the Union Cabinet had approved the listing of five railway companies. Out of which IRCON International Ltd, RITES Ltd, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd (RVNL) and Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation (IRCTC) have already been listed. IRCTC shares were listed in October 2019 with over 100 per cent listing gains. While RVNL shares got listed in April 2019, and made a flat debut on stock exchanges. Shares of IRCON International Ltd were listed on the bourses in September 2018, with a 14 per cent discount to its IPO price.

Should you subscribe to the IRFC IPO?


Likhita Chepa, Senior Research Analyst at CapitalVia Global Research, told Financial Express Online, that it has a unique business model and hence its valuations can not be compared to any benchmark. Considering its financials and prospects, the issue seems to be an undervalued offering. However, if the government or MoR changes its policies regarding IRFC, then its profitability can get affected. As the primary market has been awarding investors with a fair amount of listing gains in recent times, this issue is also expected to draw a significant amount of investors’ interest. “The strong fundamental aspects are making it a good bet for not just listing gains but also for long-term investment,” she said.

Abhay Doshi, Founder, UnlistedArena.com – dealing in Pre-IPO & Unlisted Shares – told Financial Express Online that the issue price of IRFC looks quite attractive. “Although the size of the issue is quite big and dates of IRFC IPO will clash with Indigo Paint IPO, we may not see huge oversubscription and stellar listing gains like recent IPOs hence, investors with a medium to long term view may find it suitable,” Doshi added.

Most of the brokerages have recommended to ‘subscribe’ to the issue.”GEPL Capital has recommended to ‘subscribe’ to the issue for the long-term on the back of the relatively low-risk business model, strategic role in financing growth of Indian Railways and long term prospects considering electrification and network expansion. The offer is valued at a one time FY20 price to book value.

Those at LKP Securities have also given ‘subscribe’ rating to the dedicated market borrowing arm of the Indian Railways. “Attractive valuation with healthy return ratios make us optimistic on the long term prospects for IRFC,” it said.

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Petrol, diesel prices hiked again, scale new highs

Petrol, diesel prices hiked again, scale new highs

Petrol and diesel prices on Thursday were hiked by 25 paise per litre each, the second straight day of increase in rates that took the prices to new highs. Petrol now costs Rs 84.70 per litre in Delhi and diesel is priced at Rs 74.88, according to a price notification from oil marketing companies. This is the second straight day of a price increase. Rates were hiked by 25 paise each on Wednesday after a five-day hiatus.

In Mumbai, the price of petrol was increased to Rs 91.32 a litre from Rs 91.07 previously, while diesel rates went up from Rs 81.34 to Rs 81.60 per litre. Petrol price is at a record high in Delhi and is just a shy away from the highest ever rate of Rs 91.34 in Mumbai. Diesel price in Mumbai is at an all-time high.

State-owned fuel retailers — Indian Oil Corporation Ltd (IOC), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) — had on January 6, resumed daily price revision after nearly a month-long hiatus.

Rates were hiked on two consecutive days – totalling 49 paise for petrol and 51 paise for diesel – before they hit a pause button again.

The price increase cycle resumed on Wednesday, after international oil prices rose to their highest level since February 2020, before the coronavirus outbreak in China began spreading across the world, forcing lockdowns that shaved off demand.

Rates, however, eased a bit on Thursday with Brent down 11 cents to USD 55.95 per barrel while NYMEX light sweet crude was down 10 cents at USD 52.81.

The highest ever rate of diesel in Delhi was touched on October 4, 2018, when it touched Rs 75.45 a litre mark. On that day petrol was priced at Rs 84. In Mumbai, the highest level for petrol was also on the same day when it scaled to Rs 91.34.

The government had responded to the situation in October 2018, by cutting excise duty on petrol and diesel by Rs 1.50 per litre in a bid to ease inflationary pressure and boost consumer confidence. Alongside, state-owned fuel retailers cut prices by another Re 1 a litre, which they recouped later.

Though petrol and diesel rates are to be revised on a daily basis in line with benchmark international price and foreign exchange, government-controlled fuel retailers have been moderating rates since the pandemic broke out.

This after they adjusted a Rs 13 per litre hike in excise duty on petrol and Rs 15 a litre on diesel, against a decrease in the retail selling price that was warranted by crude oil prices falling to an average of USD 19 per barrel in April.

Excise duty totals Rs 32.98 per litre in petrol and Rs 31.83 in diesel. VAT in Delhi totals to Rs 19.32 a litre on petrol and Rs 10.85 on diesel.

With international oil prices rebounding from the lows of April, retail rates in India too were revised. Since May 2020, petrol price has risen by Rs 15.04 per litre and diesel by Rs 12.59 a litre, price notifications of oil companies showed.

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Indigo Paints IPO opens next week as Sequoia Capital, promoter look to trim stake; check details

Indigo Paints IPO opens next week as Sequoia Capital, promoter look to trim stake; check details

Indigo Paints initial public offering (IPO) will open for subscription next week, paving the way for its much-awaited debut on Dalal Street. Sequoia Capital-backed Indigo Paints IPO, which received a go-ahead from Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) earlier this month, will open for subscription on January 20 and close on January 22. The paints manufacturer is looking to raise Rs 1,000 crore from the capital markets with a combination of fresh issuance and an offer for sale (OFS) by existing shareholders of the company. This will be among the first few IPOs of 2021. In the previous year 2020, as many as 15 companies made stock market debuts.

Indigo Paints public issue will consist of a Rs 300 crore fresh issue of equity shares and an OFS of 58.4 lakh equity shares. The existing shareholders looking to sell part of their stakes in Indigo Paints include venture capital firm Sequoia Capital, SCI Investments, and promoter Hemant Jalan. While Sequoia is looking to sell 20 lakh equity shares of the 85.34 lakh shares it currently owns, SCI Investments will offload 21.65 lakh stocks from the 92.08 lakh currently held. Hemant Jalan owns 1.02 crore equity shares in the firm and will reduce his stake by 16.7 lakh shares. Indigo Paints has not disclosed the issue price of its IPO so far. However, it is likely to be in the range of Rs 1480-1500 per share, two traders dealing in unlisted shares told Financial Express Online.

Face value of the equity shares has been set at Rs 10 apiece by Indigo Paints. The firm will not receive any funds from the OFS proceeds. However, from the fresh issue proceeds, Indigo Paints plans to fund capital expenditure for expansion of the existing manufacturing facility at Pudukkottai, Tamil Nadu. Along with this, it plans to purchase tinting machines and gyroshakers and repay/prepay all or certain borrowings of the firm.

Indigo Paints is the fifth-largest company in the Indian decorative paint industry in terms of the revenue from operations for fiscal year 2020. “The company has achieved this position in a highly competitive Indian decorative paint industry on the back of their multi-pronged approach,” said Axis Securities in a note. Indigo Paints has an extensive distribution network across 27 states and seven union territories.

Financially, the company reported a net profit of Rs 27.21 crore at the end of September last year. Revenue from operation during the same period stood at Rs 259.42 crore. During the financial year 2020, Indigo Paints reported a revenue of Rs 624.79 crore and a net profit of Rs 47.82 crore.

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Radhakishan Damani’s DMart hits fresh highs, but analysts shy away from giving buy calls

Radhakishan Damani’s DMart hits fresh highs, but analysts shy away from giving buy calls

Radhakishan Damani’s Avenue Supermarts saw its share price surge to a fresh all-time high of Rs 3,130 per share on Monday morning as investors reacted to the strong earning growth of the firm. Avenue Supermarts, which own and operates the supermarket chain DMart, on Saturday, reported a 16.3% on-year jump in net profit to Rs 446.95 crore for the October-December quarter of the current fiscal year. This strong growth in profits was aided by an 11% jump in revenue for the firm as consumption picked up with India moving away from lockdowns as it looked to control the spread of the coronavirus.

Results beat estimates

However, analysts do not seem to be interested in giving a ‘buy’ call to the stock despite its stellar performance. Domestic brokerage and research firm Kotak Securities said that the revenue growth was ahead of expectations driven by strong festive demand, near-normal store operations and steady recovery in general merchandise sales. It did raise earning estimates expecting stronger margins but gave a ‘sell’ recommendation with a fair value of Rs 1,885. “Sharp stock price performance bakes in consistent revenue growth (possible, in view of large growth opportunity) and margin expansion (difficult, in a competitive business which may see sizeable capital infusion from peers in the near-term),” they added.

Valuations stretched

Since October, the stock price of Avenue Supermarts has jumped more than 50% making the valuations stretched. Analysts at Yes Securities said that the stock is currently trading at 68x FY23E P/E and 45x EV/EBITDA. “We, therefore, expect a period of consolidation in the stock with investors waiting to see the impact of aggressive online competition in the grocery space,” they added.

Pickup in earnings does give a strong outlook for what is in store for the company but the recent run-up is believed to have left no room for further growth in stock price.HDFC Securities has increased its EPS estimates by 5-6% to account for marginally higher revenue/sq. ft, but has downgraded the stock to ‘sell’ saying that the recent run-up leaves no room for an investment case. “An extended slump in non-essential sales could mean that discounting in staples will be lower, thereby opening up the space for competition. This, coupled with punchy valuations, leaves no margin of safety/error for the investor and the business,” they added.

E-commerce push to watch out for

The renewed focus on Radhakishan Damani’s DMart on e-commerce is, however, finding a favourable response. “Factoring beat in performance, we revise up FY21/22E PAT 11%/8%. Also, increased e-com aggression and potential market share gains enhance growth sustenance visibility,” said Edelweiss Securities in a note. With a target price of Rs 2,864 per share, Edelweiss has a ‘Hold’ rating on the scrip.

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Petrol, diesel prices hit a record high as crude oil prices rebound; inflation concerns grow

Petrol, diesel prices hit a record high as crude oil prices rebound; inflation concerns grow

Petrol prices in Delhi touched an all-time high of Rs 84.2 per litre after rising by 23 paise today. Earlier, the petrol price touched an all-time high of Rs 84 on October 4, 2018, in Delhi. Diesel prices, today, were also raised by 26 paise a litre, taking the price to Rs 74.38 a litre. While the petrol pieces are at a lifetime high in Delhi, diesel prices are at a record high in Mumbai at Rs 81.07. In Mumbai, petrol is being sold at Rs 90.83 a litre. The rise in fuel prices is another threat to the already high inflation in the country.

Even as the retail fuel prices were not reduced when there was a sharp fall in the crude oil prices in the month of March 2020, the prices of petrol and diesel are on a rise as Brent crude prices are surging. Brent crude is trading above $54 a barrel on Thursday, which is its highest level since last February after OPEC+ members agreed to maintain production levels around their current amounts for both February and March. Another reason for a rise in crude prices is that Saudi Arabia voluntarily cut output below its quota, while Russia and Kazakhstan were allowed to raise production.

It is to be noted that the Brent crude prices had fallen below $20 per barrel in May 2020, which was less than half of the current level; however, the same was not reflected in the retail fuel prices. This is because the government had raised excise duty by Rs 13 per litre on petrol and by Rs 15 a litre on diesel in two instalments in March 2020 and May 2020. The government’s move was aimed at garnering an additional revenue of Rs 1.6 lakh crore when the other sources of revenue generation were not performing well amid the lockdown.

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Author EqwiresPosted on January 7, 2021January 7, 2021Categories Accurate stock tips provider in India, Best advisory service provider for beginners, Best Bank Nifty future calls, Best Bank Nifty options tips provider, Best Bank Nifty trading tips provider, Best equity advisory services in India, Best Ethical investment advisor in india, Best Index future services, Best index options services, Best intraday call provider, Best Intraday jackpot calls, Best Intraday research company, Best intraday tips for tomorrow, Best intraday tips provider in India, Best Intraday tips site, Best Intraday tips website in India, Best investment Advisor in India, Best jackpot tips provider, Best Nifty future calls, Best Nifty options tips provider, Best Nifty trading tips provider, Best options tips provider in India, Best options trading tips provider in India, Best performing PMS in India, Best PMS in India, Best Portfolio Management services in India, Best SEBI registered advisory company, BEST SEBI 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