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Month: November 2020

Indian cryptocurrency startups’ victory bigger than the price of Bitcoin

Indian cryptocurrency startups’ victory bigger than the price of Bitcoin

With the speed cryptocurrency is emerging as the Millennial generation’s alternative asset of choice in India, it’s hard to imagine that just two years ago a couple of blockchain pioneers were briefly in police custody. Sathvik Vishwanath and Harish BV, cofounders of a then five-year-old startup, were arrested in late 2018. No, they hadn’t pulled off a shady initial coin offering. Their “crime” was that they put up a kiosk in a mall in Bangalore where customers could swap Bitcoin, Ether or Ripple for cash or vice versa. That was the whole point of Unocoin, their crypto token exchange. But the police were suspicious of the new-fangled “ATM.”

A lot has changed since then. Unocoin, which just raised financing from Tesla Inc.-backer Tim Draper’s Draper Associates, is flourishing, together with other Indian blockchain ventures. India’s share of person-to-person virtual-currency trading in Asia has surged to 33%, the same as in China, according to Oslo-based Arcane Research’s analysis of volumes on Paxful and LocalBitcoins, the biggest platforms for transactions in the region.

Some of this is no doubt due to the bubbly rise this year in Bitcoin, which recently came within $100 of its all-time high after surpassing $19,000 for the first time since 2017. Even after Thursday’s wobble, prices have still more than doubled this year.

But fundamental factors are also at play. Sending money to India in a tokenized form, and thus avoiding hefty bank charges, is becoming an option. Some customers of digital-asset exchanges, probably tech-savvy freelancers, receive tokens at regular intervals as payment for their work and convert them into rupees via their local bank accounts. Families in India are using the same channel to send money to students overseas.

Having the world’s largest diaspora — and more than $100 billion in two-way money flows last year — isn’t the only thing. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s disastrous ban on 86% of the country’s currency in November 2016 shook Indians’ faith in fiat money. Add the fear of leaving spare cash in banks when three major deposit-taking institutions have crumbled in the past 15 months. No wonder Arcane expects Indian crypto volumes to overtake China’s.

The domestic asset management industry is also helping adoption of crypto — by its incompetence. Most large-cap fund managers have struggled to beat their benchmarks, especially in recent years. The Nifty 50 index has returned only about 2% annually in dollar terms over the past decade. Yet, as Bloomberg Intelligence’s Gaurav Patankar and Morgan Barna have shown, lack of performance hasn’t kept managers from pocketing high fees.

Disgruntled younger savers are taking note, and dipping their toes in U.S. exchange-traded funds. At 1%, international allocation is still tiny, the Bloomberg Intelligence analysts say, but it’s growing rapidly. Ditto for crypto-investing, even though holding a highly volatile digital asset over the long term isn’t for the faint of heart. Only 600 of Unocoin’s 1.2 million customers have started a systematic buying plan to invest (mostly) in Bitcoin. But 99.5% of them are sitting on profit, and must be bragging about it to their friends.

There’s one dampener: regulation. Nobody wants a return to 2018, when the Reserve Bank, the monetary authority, instructed banks not to entertain customers who dealt in virtual currency. The draconian approach nearly strangled India’s blockchain revolution. The action against Unocoin’s kiosk in Bangalore was like the heavy hand of the state crashing down on a kids’ lemonade stand. If folks in India’s technology capital couldn’t pay cash to buy digital tokens, then the asset was effectively being banned nationwide.

In hindsight, the founders’ ordeal with the police proved to be a blessing in disguise. Young entrepreneurs joined together, went to the Supreme Court in New Delhi and got the RBI’s direction to banks declared unconstitutional. That was in March. Already, the exchange has seen a fivefold jump in trading, averaging $150,000 a day, from $30,000 before the court’s verdict. Of late, trading is much higher, thanks to the rally in Bitcoin prices. Larger bourses such as CoinDCX were witnessing daily volumes of almost $700,000, when I last checked.

The players are urging the government to bring digital assets under the existing money-laundering law, which will give the industry legitimacy. The next step would be to regulate the tokens as money or securities, depending on their use.

India’s phlegmatic bureaucracy may wonder if this is all a craze. Perhaps not. It isn’t even unique to Indian Millennial and Generation Z consumers. Wringing the global banking industry dry of its exorbitant fees, and putting more purchasing power in people’s hands after the Covid-19 pandemic, will be a worldwide goal. In their study titled, “What We Must Do to Rebuild,” Deutsche Bank AG economists are advising companies and policy makers to design alternatives to credit cards and “remove middleman fees.” In the short run, conventional fintech will help, but in the longer term, major economies will all do this by replacing cash with their own central bank digital currencies.

That’s when older consumers will join in. If they don’t, they’ll get get stuck, and not just figuratively. Automatically triggered crypto “smart contracts“ will make it possible for self-driving cars to switch lanes faster than others. Commuters will be continuously paying one another in official digital currencies — or in stablecoins like Facebook Inc.’s proposed Libra, private tokens whose values are fixed against fiat money.

The Indian Millennials have read the tea leaves right.

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Sebi bans Tips4Market, proprietor for providing unauthorized investment advisory services

Sebi bans Tips4Market, proprietor for providing unauthorized investment advisory services

Regulator Sebi has barred Tips4Market and its proprietor Mahesh Vaghajibhai Ramani from the capital markets for providing unauthorised trading tips to investors. Besides, they have been prohibited from carrying out investment advisory services till further orders.

Sebi conducted a preliminary examination and found that Tips4Market (T4M) was soliciting and inducing investors to deal in securities market on the basis of investment advice, stock tips among others, prima facie, without having the requisite registration as mandated under the IA norms. The amount of money, prima facie, observed to have been collected by the company was Rs 96.6 lakh from investors through such services.

By indulging in such activities, they violated the provisions of investment advisers (IA) Regulations, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) said in an interim order last week. Sebi has directed T4M and its sole proprietor Ramani to “cease and desist from acting as an investment advisor” until further orders.

They have been asked to immediately withdraw and remove all advertisements,in relation to their investment advisory activity until further orders. Further, the regulator has prohibited them from diverting any funds raised from investors and restrained them from disposing of any assets, whether movable or immovable, including money lying in bank accounts, except with the prior permission of Sebi.

Sebi has asked them “not to access the securities market and buy, sell or otherwise deal in securities in any manner whatsoever, directly or indirectly, until further orders”. T4M and Ramani may file the objections and/or request for personal hearing, if any, receivable by Sebi within 21 days from the date of the order and contest the findings, Sebi said in the interim order passed on November 20.

If the objections or the request for personal hearing, if any, are not received by Sebi within the prescribed period, then it will be construed that they have no objections to offer and have admitted the finding or allegations that have been made against them, the regulator said.

In the event of the same, final directions will take effect against T4M and Ramani, it added. The final directions include T4M and Ramani will have to refund the money received from the clients in respect of the unregistered investment advisory activities and submit a certificate from a Chartered Accountant, within a period of three months from the date of the expiry of the prescribed period.

Further, they will be barred from the capital markets “till the expiry of five years from the date of refund of the money” under the final direction. The interim directions would take effect immediately. If objections or request for personal hearing are not filed and received by Sebi within the prescribed period,then the interim directions would operate till the prescribed period and thereafter the final directions would take effect, Sebi said.

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Ujjivan Financial Services share price zooms 20% on RBI panel proposals; rallies 140% since March

Ujjivan Financial Services share price zooms 20% on RBI panel proposals; rallies 140% since March

Ujjivan Financial Services share price zoomed 20 per cent to hit upper circuit at Rs 298.55 apiece on BSE after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released Internal Working Group (IWG) report related to the ownership of private sector banks. For the first time in 2013, RBI in its Guidelines for Licensing of New Banks in the Private Sector had prescribed several structural requirements of promoting a bank under a Non-operative Financial Holding Company (NOFHC). Banks currently under the NOFHC structure may be allowed to exit from such a structure if they do not have other group entities. Macquarie Research and Motilal Oswal Financial Services see this as a positive. “This would be a positive as it removes the two-layered structure and benefits the shareholders of Equitas Holdings, Ujjivan Financial Services, and IDFC Ltd. (if they sell the MF business),” analysts at Motilal Oswal said.

Ujjivan Financial Services shares have rallied 140 per cent from March low of Rs 124.55 apiece. Macquarie Research also echoed the similar views and said that banks currently under a NOFHC (non-operating financial holding company) structure may be allowed to exit from such a structure if they do not have other group entities in their fold. “This could benefit Ujjivan Financial Services,” it said.

Motilal Oswal also said that exiting a holding company structure also removes a key overhang to reduce promoter stake to 40 per cent within five years of the commencement of banking operations in both Equitas and Ujjivan. IWG also recommended that the minimum initial capital requirement for licensing new banks should be enhanced to Rs 1,000 crore from Rs 500 crore for universal banks and from Rs 200 crore to Rs 300 crore for small finance banks.

IWG said that banks licensed before 2013 may move to a NOFHC structure at their discretion, once the NOFHC structure attains a tax-neutral status, all banks licensed before 2013 shall move to the NOFHC structure within 5 years from the announcement of tax-neutrality. Furthermore, it added that banks should not be permitted to form/acquire/associate with any new entity [subsidiary, JV, or Associate (>20% stake – signifying significant influence or control)] or make fresh investments in existing subsidiaries/JVs/associates for any financial activity.

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Vodafone Idea share price jumps over 4.5% on selling Indus stake for Rs 3,760 crore

Vodafone Idea share price jumps over 4.5% on selling Indus stake for Rs 3,760 crore

Vodafone Idea share price jumped as much as 4.6 per cent to Rs 9.70 apiece on BSE, a day after the struggling telecom firm informed the exchanges that it has sold its 11.15 per cent stake in Indus for a cash consideration of Rs 3,760 crore in accordance with the terms of the agreement. The telecom company also said that out of the consideration received from Infratel, the Vodafone Idea has made a prepayment of Rs 2,400 crore which will be adjusted in line with terms of the agreement. Vodafone Idea share price has corrected nearly 28 per cent from its 52-week high of Rs 13.45 touched on September 4, this year.

Vishal Wagh, Head of Research, Bonanza Portfolio, told Financial Express Online, Vodafone Idea has major support around 8 and resistance at 10. Breakout on the higher side can move the stock towards 14. On the other hand if broken 8 it will move towards 6.

Besides, a consortium backed by Oaktree Capital has offered to provide at least $2 billion of funding to Vodafone Group Plc’s listed Indian arm, Bloomberg cited people with knowledge of the matter as saying. Oaktree teamed up with several other firms including Varde Partners for the potential deal with Vodafone Idea Ltd. According to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) data, in August, Vodafone Idea continued to lose market share, with overall subscribers declining by 1.2 million to 300 million. Bharti Airtel maintained healthy 3.2 million additions, even as Reliance Jio’s additions slowed to 1.9 million, and VIL gained 4.6 million.

According to the research and brokerage firm Motilal Oswal Financial Services, the significant cash requirement to service debt leaves limited upside opportunity for Vodafone Idea’s equity holders. With finance cost of Rs 141 billion, servicing debt would prove challenging – unless there is debt restructuring with the lenders. “Assuming 7x EV/EBITDA and Rs 1,145 billion net debt (including AGR liability) leaves limited opportunity for shareholders,” said analysts at Motilal Oswal.

Around 10:30 AM, Vodafone Idea shares were trading 4 per cent up at Rs 9.64 apiece on BSE, as compared to a 0.42 per cent rise in the S&P BSE Sensex.

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Gland Pharma’s grey market premium bounces back strongly ahead of the stock market debut.

Gland Pharma’s grey market premium bounces back strongly ahead of the stock market debut.

Gland Pharma shares have recouped and are again commanding a strong premium in the grey market, days ahead of its trading debut. The largest pharmaceutical initial public offering (IPO) that Indian markets have seen saw a tepid subscription with only Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIB) oversubscribing their portion of the issue while Non-Institutional Investors and Retail Investors distanced themselves from the IPO. Shares of Gland Pharma are expected to be credited to demat accounts tomorrow while trading commences on Friday.

Grey market premium bounces back

After having slipped to merely Rs 10-18 per share, the grey market premium of Gland Pharma has made a sharp U-turn. “Gland Pharma is now once again commanding a premium of Rs 110-120 per share in the grey market,” Narottam Dharawat, founder, Dharawat Securities told Financial Express Online. The price band for the issue was set at Rs 1,490-1,500 per share. Last week the grey market movement of Gland Pharma was lacklustre with the stock trading at a premium of merely Rs 18-20 per share.

What’s pushing the premium

The strong resurgence of the stock is aided by the strong market movement which has taken the benchmark indices to record highs, according to Narottam Dharawat. Gland Pharma also supports strong financials and a leading position in the pharmaceutical industry which has seen a strong growth this fiscal year and is likely to mirror the same going forward. “At the higher price band of Rs 1,500 per share, Gland Pharma’s share is valued at a TTM P/E multiple of 31.7x, which is in-line with pharma industry P/E of 32.3x,” said brokerage and research firm Choice Broking.

Financially, Gland Pharma has reported healthy growth in annual profits. At the end of financial year 2020, Gland Pharma’s net profit stood at Rs 772.8 crore with an operating revenue of Rs 2,633 crore. Majority of Gland’s revenue comes from exports. The pharma firm follows a vertical integration pattern which has helped it grow market share in key markets such as the United States, Europe, Canada and Australia, and the United States. 

More institutional buying on cards?

The surge in grey market premium also comes amid expectations of heavy institutional buying. With the outlook for the pharmaceutical industry being strong, Narottam Dharawat said that institutional investors are expected to lap-up more shares of Gland Pharma on listing. With low subscription of retail investors, the selling pressure is expected to be less. Sandip Ginodia, CEO, Abhishek Securities said that the grey market now paints a good enough picture of where the listing of Gland Pharma will be. “This is now the correct picture of the listing. It is likely to be in the region of Rs 100 premium,” he added.

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