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IFC picks up $56 million of Continuum Energy’s $561 million-green bonds

The International Finance Corporation (IFC) has picked up 10 per cent of the first green bond issuance worth USD 561 million by Continuum Wind Energy as the anchor investor. The IFC has subscribed to 10 per cent or USD 56 million of Continuum Energy’s first green bond sale closed earlier this month, the World Bank Group member said.

On February 2, PTI was the first to report that Continuum was in the market to raise USD 560 million via a six-year green bond issue. Finally, it closed the issue raising USD 561 million at a price of 4.5 per cent over the US treasury.

The bond, which had an order book of USD 3.2 billion, was rated BB+ by Fitch and Ba2 by Moody’s, and was listed on the Singapore Exchange on February 10.

The dollar-bond offering was heavily oversubscribed to almost seven times and the proceeds will primarily be used to refinance existing debt.

This investment will help Continuum maintain sustainable power generation and position it to deliver projects under development as the country emerges from the pandemic, said Isabel Chatterton, Regional Industry Director for Natural Resources and Infrastructure, Asia Pacific at IFC.

It will also help support India in its ambitions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, at a time when private capital is most needed to fund infrastructure projects and support a green, resilient economic recovery, she added.

Continuum is one of the largest providers of renewable power to corporates in the commercial and industrial sectors, with roughly 2 GW of wind and solar projects across the country.

The company is majority-owned by the USD 4 billion global infrastructure fund managed by Morgan Stanley Infrastructure Partners. IFC’s investment continues a relationship that began in 2014, when IFC financed Continuum’s development of a wind farm in Madhya Pradesh.

This offering enables us to further diversify our sources of funding, and we look forward to strengthening our partnership with global investors as we continue to build and grow our business, said Arvind Bansal, chief executive of Continuum.

Raja Parthasarathy, the managing director at Morgan Stanley Infrastructure Partners, said IFC’s anchor support for the Continuum’s maiden green bond issue validates the company’s strategy.

IFC is one of the largest financiers of climate-smart projects for developing countries and since 2005, it has invested USD 22.2 billion in long-term financing from its own funds and mobilised an additional USD 15.7 billion from other investors for climate-related projects.

In India, the IFC has 31-year history of investing in the power sector, committing USD 2.3 billion across 60 projects since 1989, of which 35 are renewable energy projects.

The city-based Continuum was founded in 2009 and since 2012, it is majority-owned by a fund managed by Morgan Stanley Infrastructure which focuses on long-term investments in infrastructure assets across the globe.

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Rajasthan govt announces 2 pc cut in VAT on petrol, diesel

The Rajasthan government has reduced value-added tax (VAT) rate by two per cent on petrol and diesel, giving people the much-needed respite from rising fuel prices. The state finance department late Thursday issued orders, which came into effect from Thursday midnight.

Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot said that despite the price of crude oil being at the lowest level for a long time at the international market, inflation is rising as prices of petrol and diesel are hovering at all-time high levels and the common man is facing economic difficulties.

The price of branded or premium petrol price had crossed Rs 100-mark in Sriganganagar town of Rajasthan on January 27. Retail fuel prices vary from state to state depending on local sales tax or VAT.

The Chief Minister said in a statement that the government of India is currently charging an excise duty of Rs 32.98 per litre on petrol and Rs 31.83 per litre on diesel, which is excessive.

Gehlot said that the basic excise duty paid by the government of India is part of the divisible pool paid to the states, which has been reduced continuously from Rs 9.48 to Rs 2.98 on petrol and Rs 11.33 to Rs 4.83 on diesel due to which all the states, including Rajasthan are losing huge revenue. He said that the Centre has been continuously increasing the additional excise duty from Rs 8 to Rs 18 per litre on petrol and diesel and special excise duty has been increased from Rs 7 to Rs 12 on petrol and from zero to Rs 9 per litre on diesel.

Due to this policy of the Centre, the states are not getting their benefits. At the same time, people have to bear the brunt of expensive petrol and diesel. He said that following the initiative taken by the state government, the central government should also give relief to common man by reducing central taxes on petrol and diesel.

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India’s gold demand down 35 pc to 446.4 tonnes in 2020; rebound in 2021 likely

India’s gold demand dropped by over a third in 2020 settling at 446.4 tonne on the back of pandemic-induced lockdowns and lifetime high prices, but a rebound this year is most likely, as normalcy returns and steady course of reforms strengthen the industry, according to the World Gold Council (WGC).

India’s gold demand fell by 35.34 pc to 446.4 tonne in 2020. In 2019, the total gold demand was 690.4 tonne, according to the WGC’s 2020 Gold Demand Trends report.

Gold demand in value terms in 2020, witnessed a decline of 14 per cent and stood at Rs 1,88,280 crore, compared to Rs 2,17,770 crore in 2019, according to the WGC data.

Meanwhile, the total jewellery demand in volume terms in 2020 was down by 42 per cent at 315.9 tonne, compared to 544.6 tonne in 2019, while in terms of value it dipped by 22.42 per cent to Rs 1,33,260 crore, from Rs 1,71,790 crore largely on account of COVID-related restrictions.

The country’s net gold imports dipped by 47 per cent during 2020 to 344.2 tonne compared to 646.8 tonne in 2019, it added. However, as lockdown eased and normalisation efforts were phased in, imports during the last quarter rose 19 per cent year-on-year, pointing to the positive impact of pent-up demand, according to WGC Managing Director, India, Somasundaram PR.

The fourth quarter (October-December) of 2020, saw improved consumer sentiments as gold demand was down by only 4 per cent at 186.2 tonne, compared to overall demand in the same quarter of 2019 at 194.3 tonne.

“In the fourth quarter of 2020, the festive period and the ensuing wedding season revived hopes and drew in jewellery demand worth 137.3 tonnes, the strongest quarter in the year. Investment demand also showed significant resilience, growing 8 per cent to 48.9 tonnes,” Somasundaram PR told PTI.

He pointed out that this can be expected to continue into 2021 as further normalcy returns and steady course of reforms strengthen the industry.

“With the implementation of mandatory hallmarking in June 2021, establishment of the international bullion exchange in GIFT city and Retail Code of conduct under the aegis of the industry steering committee, industry growth will be qualitatively superior underpinned by global ambitions and strong awareness of trust and transparency,” he said.

From the consumers perspective, there is acceptance of the current high price level as the new normal, he stated.

In addition, current high stock indices and low interest rates will add significant weightage to gold amidst inevitable return of celebrations and festivities, he said.

“We could see a strong spurt in gold demand for the next few years, a repeat of what happened after a sharp drop in 2009. In such a scenario, the current high tax on gold increases the lure of smuggling, so duty cut to reasonable levels is absolutely necessary, along with tax concessions for recycling gold, innovations and digital interventions,” he said.

The year 2021 will likely set a trend of long-term growth in Indian gold demand and the benefits of such growth can be explicitly captured if coordinated policy measures are sustained, making gold a mainstream asset class, he noted.

Once the demand picks up during the second half of this year, gold imports are expected to normalise, he added.

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RIL shares fall 10% in two days, is it just the beginning of 30% downside target?

Reliance Industries Ltd’s (RIL) share price fell 2% on Wednesday morning once again to trade at a low of Rs 1,892 apiece. This is for the second consecutive trading session that Mukesh Ambani’s RIL is among the worst-performing stocks on Sensex. Going by analysts at multinational investment bank Macquarie, this may just be the beginning of the downfall for the oil-to-telecom conglomerate. In a recent report, Aditya Suresh and Abhinil Dahiwale of Macquarie cut their FY22-23 EPS estimates by 3% for RIL with a 12-month target price of Rs 1,350 per share.

The report said that RIL’s headline EPS growth in the October-December quarter was an impressive 9% on-year basis. This, according to Suresh and Dahiwale, was supported by 1% effective tax rate and $106 million investment gain booked in the retail division. “Adjusting for this and adding back an impairment in E&P, on our estimates underlying EPS was down 30% on-year,” they added. In the current fiscal year, it expects core EPS of RIL to fall 10% to nearly Rs 60. During the October-December quarter results, RIL consolidated the refining, chemicals, and fuel marketing businesses into a new ‘Oil-to-Chemicals’ (O2C) division. However, the firm refrained from reporting gross refining margins and the volume of petrochemical production.

Although Jio is now 411 million subscribers strong, Macquarie believes the number will inch up to 500 million by 2023 while raising flags over the slow subscriber addition in recent quarters. ARPU of Jio is now a Rs 151, but still below Bharti Airtel. “We believe Bharti Airtel’s ARPU will remain at a 10%-15% premium to JIO due to better quality customers. To the extent JIO decides to hold off on raising tariffs to grow market share, this would be a downside risk to earnings, with every Rs10 APRU making a ~2.5% impact on group EPS,” they added.

On the retail side, the report said that RIL’s core retail revenue will increase to $50 billion by the financial year 2030. EBIT margins are expected to jump from 4.5% in Financial Year 2021 to 5.5-6% in financial year 2022-23. “A key downside risk to this assumption is the discounting and fulfillment options RIL offers for JioMart,” the report said. In the latest quarterly results, RIL did not provide any category-wise revenue and margin.

For the refining segment, Macquarie expects an improvement from to $6.5/bbl in FY21E and $8-9/bbl in FY22-23. Meanwhile, for chemicals business, the report highlighted that earnings likely peaked in the fiscal year 2019 for the segemnt. “From a peak $5 billion chemicals EBITDA in FY19, we estimate $3.5 billion in FY22-23e driven by lower spreads across the board, the report added. The analysts see a slower recovery in Reliance’s refining and chemical margins, slower pace of ARPU hikes, lower retail margins as JioMart scales up, high competition in retail, higher working capital for retail, higher capex for JIO and retail, and higher minority interests among key reasons for their bearish views on RIL’s stock price.

“RIL consolidated ROE remains <8% even in FY25 on our estimates; we consider this sub-par in view of the current lofty 30x FY22 PE,” the report said. In a ‘bull case’ scenario the brokerage expects the stock to reach a price of Rs 2,050 per share. In its ‘bear case’ scenario the stock is expected to slip to Rs 910 apiece.

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