The Indian equity market continued its downward trajectory for the eighth consecutive session on September 30, 2025, as investors remained cautious ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decision. The benchmark indices — BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty — closed marginally lower, reflecting a subdued sentiment across Dalal Street.
Market Performance Snapshot
- Sensex fell by 97.32 points to close at 80,267.62
- Nifty50 declined by 23.80 points, ending at 24,611.10
This persistent decline has raised concerns among traders and investors, especially as the market awaits clarity on interest rate direction and macroeconomic guidance from the RBI.
RBI MPC Decision Looms Large
The RBI’s three-day monetary policy meeting began today, with the outcome expected on October 1. While a status quo on the repo rate (currently at 5.50 percent) is widely anticipated, some economists have hinted at a possible surprise rate cut due to softening inflation and global trade tensions.
Market participants are closely watching the central bank’s commentary for cues on future rate trajectories, liquidity stance, and inflation outlook. The uncertainty surrounding this decision has led to range-bound trading and heightened volatility.
Global and Domestic Headwinds
Several factors have contributed to the market’s weakness:
- Persistent FII Selling: Foreign Institutional Investors offloaded equities worth Rs 5,687.58 crore on Friday alone, exerting pressure on domestic stocks and the rupee
- Mixed Sectoral Trends: Gains in metal and PSU banking stocks were offset by losses in realty, consumer durables, and private banks. Axis Bank, ICICI Bank, and L&T were among the major drags
- Global Uncertainty: Concerns over India-US trade talks, a potential US government shutdown, and volatile crude oil prices have added to investor anxiety
Broader Market Trends
- Midcap Index: Gained 0.29 percent, showing resilience
- Smallcap Index: Declined 0.17 percent, indicating selective buying
- India VIX: Eased slightly to 11.37, suggesting moderate volatility
Sectoral Highlights
- Top Gainers: Titan, SBI, NTPC, Trent
- Top Losers: Tata Motors, Reliance, Hindustan Unilever, TCS
Despite the cautious mood, some pockets of strength were visible in PSU banks and energy stocks, hinting at selective accumulation ahead of the policy outcome.
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