Nifty Ends Second Straight Series in Red Amid Tariff Woes and Muted Q1 Earnings

The Indian stock market closed sharply lower on Thursday, wrapping up the August derivatives series with its second consecutive monthly decline. The benchmark indices—Nifty 50 and Sensex—were weighed down by global trade tensions, disappointing Q1 earnings, and expiry-day volatility.

Market Overview

  • Nifty 50 ended at 24,500.90, down 211.15 points or 0.85%
  • Sensex closed at 80,080.57, losing 705.97 points or 0.87%
  • Investors saw a wipeout of nearly ₹3.9 lakh crore in market capitalization

This marks a steep fall from Nifty’s recent high of 25,153, with over 650 points lost in just five sessions.

Major Factors Behind the Decline

1. Tariff Shock from the US

The biggest trigger was the implementation of a 50% tariff on Indian exports by the United States, effective August 27. This sudden move hit investor sentiment hard, especially in export-driven sectors like IT, pharma, and manufacturing.

  • All 15 NSE sectors ended in the red
  • Nifty IT, Realty, and Defence were the worst performers
  • Stocks like Infosys, HCL Tech, and Shriram Finance saw sharp declines

2. Weak Q1 Earnings

Quarterly results from major companies failed to meet expectations, adding to the bearish tone. Banking and financial services were particularly weak.

  • HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and TCS were among the top drags
  • Broader markets underperformed, with BSE Midcap down 1.09% and SmallCap down 0.96%

3. Expiry-Day Volatility

Thursday marked the monthly and weekly derivatives expiry, which typically brings heightened volatility. Traders squared off positions, adding to the downward pressure.

Sector Performance

SectorPerformance
Nifty IT-2.1%
Nifty Realty-1.8%
Nifty Financial Services-1.5%
Nifty Auto+0.6%
Nifty Pharma-1.3%

Nifty Auto was the only sector to close in the green, supported by strong sales data and optimism around festive demand.

Top Movers

Decliners:

  • Shriram Finance
  • HCL Technologies
  • Infosys

Gainers:

  • Titan Company
  • Adani Enterprises
  • Hero MotoCorp

Technical View

Nifty is now trading below its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages, indicating short-term bearish momentum. Analysts suggest caution as the index struggles to hold key support levels.

Global Trade Tensions

The tariff decision by the Trump administration has created uncertainty across global markets. While some officials hint at future negotiations, others continue to escalate trade rhetoric. This lack of clarity is making investors nervous.

Ajay Bagga, a market expert, noted: “Tariffs happened, truce did not. Conflicting signals from the US administration are adding to policy chaos.”

What’s Next

All eyes are now on India’s Q2 GDP data, expected Friday. A positive surprise could help stabilize sentiment, but until there’s clarity on trade and policy direction, volatility is likely to persist.

Conclusion

The August series ended on a sour note for Indian equities. Tariff shocks, weak earnings, and expiry-day volatility combined to drag the markets lower. While some pockets like auto showed resilience, the broader trend remains cautious.

For traders and investors navigating this uncertain environment, expert guidance is more important than ever. Firms like Eqwires continue to offer valuable insights and strategies to help manage risk and seize opportunities.

Eqwires Research Analyst

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