BDL Shares Surge 3% After Q1 PAT Soars 154% YoY — Should You Buy Now?

Bharat Dynamics Ltd (BDL), the state-owned defence PSU, saw its shares jump 3.2% to ₹1,534 on August 13, 2025, after reporting a stellar Q1FY26 performance. The company’s Profit After Tax (PAT) surged 154% year-on-year to ₹18.35 crore, up from ₹7.21 crore in Q1FY25, driven by strong operational momentum and easing supply chain constraints.

Q1FY26 Highlights

MetricQ1FY26Q1FY25YoY Change
PAT₹18.35 crore₹7.21 crore+154%
Revenue from Operations₹231.09 crore₹187.77 crore+23.07%
Total Income₹334.79 crore₹271.55 crore+23.29%
Total Expenses₹311.66 crore₹260.31 crore+19.72%

Despite rising costs, BDL delivered robust profit growth, reflecting improved execution and margin resilience.

What Are Brokerages Saying?

Nuvama: Buy | Target ₹2,250

  • Projects 51% revenue CAGR and 66% EPS CAGR over FY25–28
  • Operating margins expected to stay in the 23–23.5% range
  • Assigns 45x P/E multiple on FY27E EPS of ₹50.1
  • Notes easing import constraints and strong growth visibility

Motilal Oswal: Buy | Target ₹1,900

  • Upgraded from Neutral to Buy
  • Highlights BDL’s order book of ₹23,300 crore and prospect pipeline of ₹50,000 crore
  • Forecasts EBITDA margin improvement from 23.8% (FY26) to 25.5% (FY28)
  • Sees valuation at 39x FY27E EPS and 29x FY28E EPS

Should You Buy BDL Now?

Reasons to Consider Buying

  • Strong Q1 performance and margin expansion
  • Large order book and pipeline ensure revenue visibility
  • Easing supply chain issues post-global disruptions
  • Government push for defence indigenization and exports

Risks to Watch

  • High valuation multiples (39x–45x forward P/E)
  • Execution delays in defence contracts
  • Dependency on geopolitical factors for imports and exports

Verdict

BDL’s Q1 results signal strong operational recovery and long-term growth potential. With solid fundamentals, a robust order book, and favorable brokerage outlooks, the stock presents a compelling case for long-term investors. However, given its premium valuation, short-term investors may prefer to wait for a better entry point or technical confirmation.

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