Author: Eqwires

The Indian stock market extended its losing streak for the third consecutive session on Tuesday, September 23, 2025, as investor sentiment remained cautious amid global uncertainties and domestic policy transitions. Despite supportive macroeconomic indicators like low inflation and anticipated GST-driven consumption boost, frontline indices closed in the red, reflecting selective profit booking and sectoral rotation.

Market Snapshot: September 23, 2025

• Sensex closed at 82,102.10, down 58 points or 0.07%
• Nifty 50 settled at 25,169.50, down 33 points or 0.13%
• BSE Midcap fell 0.29%, while Smallcap declined 0.35%
• Nifty Bank slipped 269 points to 55,459
• Nifty Midcap Index edged up 21 points to 59,094

10 Key Highlights from Today’s Market

1. Frontline Indices Extend Losses

Both Sensex and Nifty 50 declined for the third straight session, weighed down by concerns over H-1B visa fee hikes and uncertainty surrounding India–US trade negotiations.

2. Mid and Small Caps Underperform

Broader market indices lagged behind, with mid and small-cap stocks facing selling pressure amid cautious retail participation.

3. IT and Financials Drag

Profit booking in IT majors like Infosys and HCL Tech, along with weakness in private banks such as ICICI Bank and Axis Bank, contributed to the decline.

4. PSU Banks and Realty Outperform

Contrary to the overall trend, PSU banks and realty stocks posted gains. The Nifty PSU Bank index rose by 1.28%, while realty stocks benefited from GST rate cuts and festive demand expectations.

5. Adani Group Stocks Rally

Adani Enterprises and other group companies surged up to 13% following a clean chit from SEBI, boosting investor confidence in the conglomerate.

6. Paytm Sees Sharp Decline

Paytm shares fell 4% intraday amid heavy volumes, reflecting volatility in fintech stocks and investor caution.

7. Export-Oriented Sectors in Focus

With the US Fed initiating a rate-easing cycle, export-driven sectors like pharma and textiles are expected to benefit from improved global demand.

8. GST Reform Optimism

Despite market weakness, expectations remain high for a consumption boost as the new GST structure takes effect. Sectors like auto, cement, and healthcare are poised for margin expansion and demand revival.

9. FII Activity Remains Supportive

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net buyers on Thursday, adding ₹367 crore in equities, providing a cushion to the broader market sentiment.

10. Market Breadth Positive

Out of 3,133 stocks listed on the NSE, 1,601 advanced, 1,427 declined, and 105 remained unchanged, indicating selective buying despite headline index weakness.

What This Means for Traders and Investors

The current market phase demands strategic positioning and disciplined execution. With sectoral rotation and policy-driven volatility in play, traders must rely on expert guidance to navigate opportunities and risks.

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Final Thoughts

While the Sensex and Nifty 50 have faced a short-term correction, underlying fundamentals remain supportive. With GST reforms, festive demand, and global tailwinds aligning, the coming weeks could offer strong trading setups across sectors.

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India’s economic landscape is undergoing a strategic transformation with the implementation of the new Goods and Services Tax (GST) structure, effective from September 22, 2025. The revised framework, hailed as the most significant overhaul since GST’s inception in 2017, is designed to simplify compliance, reduce tax burdens, and stimulate consumption across key sectors.

What’s Changed in the GST Structure?

The GST Council has streamlined the tax slabs into three broad categories, replacing the earlier complex structure:

New GST Slab	Applies To
0% (Nil Rate)	Life-saving medicines, bread, paneer, health and life insurance
5% (Merit Rate)	Essentials like medicines, personal care items, school supplies, handicrafts
18% (Standard Rate)	Electronics, cement, small cars, appliances
40% (Sin/Demerit Rate)	Tobacco, pan masala, sugary drinks, luxury vehicles

This restructuring aims to correct inverted duty structures, lower input costs for manufacturers, and enhance transparency for consumers.

Sectoral Impact: Demand Revival and Cost Efficiency

Automobiles and Consumer Durables

Small cars and two-wheelers, previously taxed at 28%, now fall under the 18% slab. This price correction is expected to boost sales volumes, especially in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities.

Construction and Cement

Cement rates have been slashed from 28% to 18%, potentially reducing infrastructure and housing costs. This is a welcome relief for developers and homebuyers alike.

MSMEs and Labour-Intensive Industries

Handicrafts, leather goods, and other labour-intensive products now attract lower GST rates, improving margins and competitiveness for small businesses.

Healthcare and Pharma

Life-saving drugs have been moved to the nil rate category, while diagnostic kits and medical disposables now attract just 5% GST. This makes healthcare more affordable and accessible.

Economic Outlook: A Strategic Push for Growth

The timing of the GST cuts aligns with a historically low inflation environment—India’s headline CPI inflation stood at just 1.55% in July 2025, with food inflation at -1.76%, marking a rare deflationary trend. This creates a powerful synergy: lower taxes combined with low inflation amplify consumer purchasing power, setting the stage for a 20–30 basis point boost to GDP growth in FY26.

Challenges Ahead

While the reforms are widely welcomed, concerns remain around:

• Revenue loss for states, especially those reliant on compensation cess
• Logistical complexities in transitioning to the new structure
• Uncertainty in price transmission, as companies may delay passing benefits to consumers

What This Means for Traders and Investors

The GST overhaul is expected to trigger sectoral rallies, particularly in auto, FMCG, cement, and healthcare stocks. For traders navigating this volatility, expert guidance is essential.

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Final Thoughts

The GST cuts of 2025 are more than just a tax reform—they’re a strategic lever to unlock domestic consumption, ease business operations, and drive inclusive growth. As industries recalibrate their pricing and supply chains, investors and traders must stay ahead of the curve.

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Indian equity markets closed sharply lower on Monday, September 22, as renewed concerns over U.S. H-1B visa restrictions triggered a sell-off in IT stocks, dragging benchmark indices into the red. The Nifty 50 ended the session at 25,200, down 141 points, while the Sensex shed 466 points to close at 83,720. The broader market also felt the heat, with midcap and smallcap indices under pressure.

IT Sector Takes the Biggest Hit

The Information Technology index plunged over 3.5 percent, making it the worst-performing sector of the day. Stocks like Infosys, TCS, Wipro, and HCL Tech saw heavy selling as traders reacted to President Trump’s announcement of increased scrutiny and fee hikes for H-1B visa renewals. The move is expected to impact Indian IT firms’ margins and project pipelines, especially those with significant U.S. exposure.

Infosys fell 4.2 percent, TCS dropped 3.8 percent, and Wipro declined by 3.5 percent. Analysts believe the sentiment may remain weak in the short term until there’s clarity on visa processing timelines and cost implications.

Broader Market Trends

• Banking and Auto stocks showed resilience, with ICICI Bank and Bajaj Auto posting modest gains.
• Pharma and FMCG sectors remained flat, offering little support to the falling indices.
• Adani Group stocks continued their upward momentum, with Adani Power hitting a 15-month high post its stock split.

Global Cues and FII Activity

Global markets were mixed, with U.S. futures trading flat and European indices showing mild gains. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) turned net sellers, offloading ₹1,200 crore worth of equities, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) provided some cushion with ₹950 crore in net buying.

Technical View

The Nifty has broken below its immediate support of 25,300, and analysts expect further downside toward 25,000 if selling persists. The index formed a bearish candle on the daily chart, indicating weakness. Traders are advised to remain cautious and avoid aggressive long positions until stability returns.

Strategic Insight for Traders and Investors

With volatility rising and sector-specific risks emerging, traders need to be selective and disciplined. IT stocks may remain under pressure, while defensive sectors like pharma and FMCG could offer safer bets in the near term.

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Call: +91 9624421555 / +91 9624461555

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Adani Group stocks extended their gains for the second consecutive trading session, with Adani Power leading the rally by hitting a fresh 15-month high. The surge is driven by a combination of positive developments, including a strategic stock split, regulatory clean-up, and bullish brokerage coverage.

Adani Power Surges Post Stock Split

Adani Power jumped over 18 percent in early trade, reaching ₹168.80 after its 1:5 stock split came into effect. The move reduced the face value of each share from ₹10 to ₹2, increasing liquidity and making the stock more accessible to retail investors. This is the company’s first-ever stock split and is seen as a strategic effort to broaden investor participation.

Market analysts believe the split could attract a new wave of retail interest, especially as sentiment around Adani Group stocks continues to improve.

SEBI Clears Adani Group of Hindenburg Allegations

Investor confidence received a boost after SEBI cleared the Adani Group of allegations made by Hindenburg Research. The regulator found no evidence of stock manipulation or fund diversion, noting that the flagged loans had been repaid with interest before the investigation began. This regulatory clean chit has helped restore credibility and reduce uncertainty around Adani stocks.

Brokerages Turn Bullish

Global brokerage Morgan Stanley initiated coverage on Adani Power with an “overweight” rating and a target price of ₹818. The firm highlighted Adani Power’s aggressive expansion plans, aiming to grow capacity from 18,150 MW to 41.9 GW by FY32. This could potentially increase its market share in India’s thermal power segment to 15 percent.

Morgan Stanley also projected a threefold increase in Adani Power’s EBITDA by FY33, driven by new capacity additions, regulatory clarity, and improved procurement and logistics.

Broader Adani Group Performance

Other Adani stocks also posted gains. Adani Enterprises rose 3 percent, while Adani Ports climbed 1.2 percent. The overall sentiment around the group has turned bullish, supported by strong fundamentals and easing regulatory concerns.

Retail Sentiment and Market Outlook

Retail sentiment for Adani Power has shifted from neutral to bullish, with increased message volumes and positive chatter across trading platforms. The stock has already gained over 35 percent in 2025, and analysts expect further upside if macro conditions remain favorable.

Strategic Insight for Traders and Investors

For traders looking to capitalize on this momentum, it’s essential to combine technical setups with macro awareness. Stocks like Adani Power may offer short-term breakout opportunities, but disciplined risk management remains key.

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In a dramatic policy shift, President Donald Trump has signed a proclamation imposing a staggering $100,000 fee on each H-1B visa petition, effective September 21, 2025. This move, aimed at curbing what the administration calls “systemic abuse” of the H-1B program, has sent shockwaves through India’s tech industry, which relies heavily on this visa route to place skilled professionals in U.S. roles.

What Was the H-1B Visa Fee Before?

Before this hike, the total cost of filing an H-1B petition typically ranged between $4,000 and $6,000 per applicant, depending on the size of the sponsoring company and legal fees. This included:

• Base filing fee: $460
• ACWIA fee: $750–$1,500
• Fraud prevention fee: $500
• Public Law 114-113 fee: $4,000 (for large companies)
• Optional premium processing: $2,500

The new $100,000 fee is a seismic increase—nearly 20 times the previous maximum—and applies to every H-1B petition filed, regardless of company size.

Why the Fee Was Introduced

According to the proclamation, the fee aims to discourage companies from using H-1B visas to replace American workers with lower-paid foreign labor. The administration argues that the program has been exploited, particularly in STEM fields, and that the new fee will ensure only the “best of the best” are hired. Exceptions exist for cases deemed in the national interest by the Secretary of Homeland Security.

Impact on Indian IT Companies

India accounts for nearly 70% of all H-1B visa holders. Major IT firms like TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and HCL Technologies routinely send thousands of engineers and developers to the U.S. each year. The new fee structure will:

• Increase operational costs dramatically for Indian IT firms.
• Reduce the number of H-1B filings, especially for junior or mid-level roles.
• Force companies to prioritize high-value roles and senior talent for U.S. placements.
• Accelerate hiring in alternative markets like Canada, Europe, and Southeast Asia.

Smaller IT firms and startups may be priced out of the U.S. market entirely, leading to a talent shift and potential revenue loss.

Impact on Indian Tech Professionals

For Indian engineers, developers, and data scientists, the H-1B visa has long been a gateway to global opportunities. The new fee could:

• Limit access to U.S. jobs, especially for fresh graduates and entry-level professionals.
• Push talent toward other countries with more favorable immigration policies.
• Increase competition for fewer sponsored roles, raising the bar for qualifications and experience.

Many professionals may now consider remote work or relocation to countries like Canada, which offer more accessible work permits and permanent residency pathways.

What This Means for Investors and Market Sentiment

The policy shift could have ripple effects across the Indian stock market, especially in the IT and tech sectors. Investors should watch for:

• Earnings pressure on major IT exporters.
• Hiring and expansion trends shifting toward non-U.S. markets.
• Currency volatility due to changing remittance flows.

For those navigating this evolving landscape, expert guidance is essential.

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Eqwires doesn’t just react to news—it helps you capitalize on it. With a focus on disciplined investing and strategic positioning, Eqwires is your edge in a rapidly changing financial world.

Final Thoughts

President Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee marks a turning point in global talent mobility. For Indian IT companies and tech professionals, it’s a wake-up call to diversify markets, elevate skillsets, and rethink U.S. dependency. For investors, it’s a moment to reassess exposure and seek expert guidance.

And with Eqwires by your side, you’re not just watching the market—you’re mastering it.

Eqwires Research Analyst

Top-notch SEBI registered research analyst

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info@eqwires.com

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Call: +91 9624421555 / +91 9624461555

www.eqwires.com