Closing Bell: Nifty Ends at 25,100, Sensex Gains 137 Points; Realty and Telecom Lead the Charge

Indian equity benchmarks closed higher on Tuesday, October 7, 2025, with the Nifty 50 settling at 25,100 and the Sensex rising 137 points to end at 81,790. The rally was led by strong buying in realty and telecom stocks, supported by firm global cues and sustained domestic investor interest. Despite foreign portfolio outflows, the market maintained its upward momentum, reflecting confidence in India’s macroeconomic resilience and sectoral rotation.

Market Overview

  • Nifty 50: Closed at 25,100, up 0.55%, marking a fresh milestone after breaking above key resistance levels.
  • Sensex: Gained 137 points, supported by strength in Bharti Airtel, L&T, and HDFC Bank.
  • Bank Nifty: Held firm above 56,000 after a trendline breakout, signaling continued bullish sentiment in financials.

Sectoral Performance

Realty and Telecom emerged as the top-performing sectors:

  • Realty Index: Jumped over 2.5%, driven by gains in DLF, Godrej Properties, and Oberoi Realty. Optimism around festive demand and easing interest rate expectations supported the rally.
  • Telecom: Bharti Airtel surged over 3% after reports of tariff hikes and strong subscriber additions. Vodafone Idea also saw renewed buying interest.

Other notable sectors:

  • Financials: Continued to show strength post Q2 business updates from HDFC Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, and Bajaj Finance.
  • IT: Traded mixed ahead of earnings season, with TCS and Infosys showing range-bound movement.
  • Auto and FMCG: Witnessed mild profit booking after recent gains.

Broader Market and Stock Highlights

  • Midcap and Smallcap indices outperformed, indicating broad-based participation.
  • Top Gainers: Bharti Airtel, DLF, Bajaj Finance, Kotak Bank, and Godrej Properties.
  • Top Losers: Infosys, Nestle India, and Hindustan Unilever saw mild declines.

FII-DII Activity

  • Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs): Continued to be net sellers, offloading ₹313 crore worth of equities.
  • Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs): Remained strong buyers, injecting ₹5,036 crore into the market, supporting sentiment and absorbing FII pressure.

Technical Outlook

  • Nifty has broken above its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, confirming bullish momentum. Immediate resistance is seen at 25,200, while support lies at 24,850.
  • Bank Nifty is targeting 57,200–57,500, with strong support at 55,500.

Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD suggest continued strength, though traders should watch for consolidation near resistance zones.

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World Bank Raises India’s FY26 Growth Forecast to 6.5%, Warns of Tariff Risks Ahead

The World Bank has revised India’s GDP growth forecast for FY26 upward to 6.5 percent, citing resilient domestic demand, a recovery in rural consumption, and the positive impact of tax reforms. This marks a notable upgrade from its previous estimate of 6.3 percent. However, the global institution also cautioned that rising trade barriers, particularly steep tariffs imposed by the United States, could pose risks to India’s export performance in FY27.

Key Highlights from the World Bank’s South Asia Development Update

  • India’s FY26 growth is now projected at 6.5 percent, supported by strong consumption, improved agricultural output, and rising rural wages.
  • The FY27 forecast has been trimmed to 6.3 percent due to anticipated export challenges stemming from high US tariffs.
  • India recorded a five-quarter high GDP growth of 7.8 percent in Q1 FY26, driven by public investment and resilient private consumption.
  • GST reforms, including simplification of tax brackets and improved compliance, are expected to support economic activity.
  • The US has imposed a 50 percent tariff on Indian goods, among the highest globally, impacting nearly 2 percent of India’s GDP through export channels.

South Asia Outlook

South Asia remains the fastest-growing region among emerging markets, but growth is expected to moderate from 6.6 percent in 2025 to 5.8 percent in 2026. The World Bank also highlighted the potential of Artificial Intelligence to boost productivity and employment across the region. India ranks high on the Government AI Readiness Index, positioning it to benefit from global digital transformation trends.

Investor Implications

The upgraded growth forecast reinforces confidence in India’s macroeconomic stability and consumption-driven sectors. However, the caution around FY27 suggests that export-oriented industries may face headwinds, making sectoral rotation and tactical positioning essential for investors and traders.

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