Stock Markets End Flat After Volatile Session as Investors Await U.S.-Russia Talks Outcome

Indian equity markets closed flat on Thursday, August 14, 2025, after a highly volatile trading session, as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the much-anticipated U.S.-Russia summit. The benchmark indices—BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty—registered marginal gains, snapping a multi-week losing streak but reflecting underlying uncertainty in global risk sentiment.

Market Snapshot

  • BSE Sensex: Closed up by 57.75 points (0.07%) at 80,597.66
  • NSE Nifty: Gained 11.95 points (0.05%) to settle at 24,631.30
  • Intraday Highs: Sensex touched 80,751.18; Nifty peaked at 24,678.45
  • Volatility: Driven by weekly F&O expiry and geopolitical caution

The session saw sharp intraday swings, with gains in IT, banking, and consumer stocks offset by declines in metals, energy, and realty sectors.

Key Gainers and Losers

Top Gainers (Sensex):

  • Eternal (Zomato): +1.9%
  • Infosys: +1.6%
  • Asian Paints: +1.2%
  • HDFC Bank: +0.9%
  • Titan: +0.6%

Top Losers:

  • Tata Steel: −3.0%
  • Tech Mahindra: −2.1%
  • Adani Ports: −1.8%
  • Bharat Electronics: −1.5%
  • UltraTech Cement: −0.8%

Midcap and smallcap indices underperformed, with the Nifty Midcap 100 falling 0.31% and the SmallCap index down 0.38%.

Global Context: U.S.-Russia Talks in Focus

The upcoming summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, scheduled for August 15 in Alaska, is being closely watched by global markets. The talks aim to address tensions over:

  • Energy sanctions
  • Security and trade disputes
  • The Ukraine conflict

Analysts believe any easing of sanctions or geopolitical thaw could impact global oil prices, trade flows, and investor sentiment.

Domestic Factors Supporting Stability

1. S&P Rating Upgrade

India’s sovereign credit rating was upgraded to ‘BBB’ by S&P Global Ratings, citing:

  • Robust economic growth
  • Fiscal consolidation
  • Improved monetary policy credibility

This upgrade, the first in 18 years, helped bolster market confidence despite global headwinds.

2. Wholesale Price Inflation

WPI fell to a two-year low of −0.58% in July, driven by deflation in food and fuel. This supports expectations of a rate cut by the RBI and eases inflationary concerns.

3. Institutional Flows

  • FIIs: Net sellers of ₹3,644.43 crore on August 13
  • DIIs: Net buyers of ₹5,623.79 crore, providing support to frontline stocks

Technical Outlook

Market experts suggest a consolidation phase is underway, with Nifty’s immediate support seen at 24,500, followed by 24,300. Resistance is pegged at 24,700–24,800.

Ajit Mishra of Religare Broking noted, “Markets have largely digested recent negatives and are awaiting a trigger for directional movement. Oversold positions in heavyweights could support a short-term bounce.”

Global Market Performance

  • Asia: Mixed performance; Kospi ended higher, while Nikkei, SSE Composite, and Hang Seng declined
  • Europe: Mostly higher on easing inflation data
  • U.S.: Ended higher on August 13, supported by tech and energy stocks

Brent crude rose 0.53% to $65.92/barrel, adding pressure on India’s import bill.

Conclusion

The flat close in Indian markets reflects a delicate balance between domestic optimism and global caution. While the S&P rating upgrade and easing inflation offer tailwinds, investors remain focused on the outcome of the U.S.-Russia talks, which could reshape global energy dynamics and risk appetite.

With markets closed on August 15 for Independence Day, traders will reassess positions next week based on geopolitical developments and macro data releases.

Eqwires Research Analyst

Top-notch SEBI registered research analyst

Best SEBI registered Intraday tips provider

info@eqwires.com

Telegram Facebook Instagram

Call: +91 9624421555 / +91 9624461555

www.eqwires.com

S&P Upgrades India’s Sovereign Rating to ‘BBB’ on Economic Resilience and Fiscal Discipline — What It Means

In a significant boost to India’s global financial standing, S&P Global Ratings has upgraded the country’s long-term sovereign credit rating from ‘BBB-’ to ‘BBB’, citing economic resilience, sustained fiscal consolidation, and policy stability. This marks India’s first rating upgrade by S&P in 18 years, placing it one notch higher within the investment-grade category and potentially lowering borrowing costs while improving investor sentiment.

Key Highlights of the Upgrade

  • Long-term rating: Upgraded to BBB from BBB-
  • Short-term rating: Upgraded to A-2 from A-3
  • Outlook: Stable
  • Transfer and convertibility assessment: Revised to A- from BBB+

S&P emphasized that India’s buoyant economic growth, enhanced monetary policy framework, and commitment to fiscal discipline have collectively strengthened its credit metrics.

Economic Resilience: The Foundation of the Upgrade

S&P noted that India staged a remarkable recovery post-pandemic, with real GDP growth averaging 8.8% from FY22 to FY24, the highest in the Asia-Pacific region. The agency expects this momentum to continue, projecting 6.8% annual GDP growth over the next three years.

Key drivers include:

  • Strong domestic consumption (60% of GDP)
  • Robust infrastructure investment
  • Controlled inflation through monetary discipline

India’s inflation-targeting regime has helped anchor expectations, with headline CPI easing to 1.6% in July 2025, creating room for potential rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India.

Fiscal Consolidation: A Political and Economic Commitment

S&P praised the government’s political resolve to reduce fiscal deficits and improve spending quality. The agency believes India is on a gradual but concrete path to fiscal consolidation, despite elevated debt levels.

The upgrade reflects:

  • Reduction in fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP
  • Improved quality of public expenditure
  • Debt moderation supported by strong nominal GDP growth

S&P stated that further upgrades are possible if the net change in general government debt falls below 6% of GDP on a structural basis.

External Risks: Tariffs and Oil Imports

Despite concerns over potential U.S. tariffs and a shift away from Russian crude imports, S&P believes the impact on India will be manageable. India’s relatively low trade dependence and strong domestic demand offer a cushion against external shocks.

Even if the government bears the full fiscal cost of switching oil sources, the impact is expected to be modest due to narrow price differentials.

Market Reaction

Following the announcement:

  • The Indian rupee strengthened to ₹87.58 against the U.S. dollar
  • The 10-year bond yield fell by 7 basis points to 6.38%
  • Equity markets responded positively, with banking and infrastructure stocks gaining traction

What This Means for India

Positive Implications:

  • Lower sovereign borrowing costs
  • Improved foreign investor confidence
  • Enhanced credibility of India’s macroeconomic framework
  • Support for India’s long-term goal of becoming a developed economy by 2047

Risks to Watch:

  • Any erosion in political commitment to fiscal discipline
  • Structural slowdown in economic growth
  • External shocks that could widen deficits or weaken investor sentiment

Conclusion

S&P’s upgrade of India’s sovereign rating to ‘BBB’ is a strong endorsement of the country’s economic fundamentals and policy direction. It reflects confidence in India’s ability to sustain growth, manage debt, and navigate global uncertainties. For policymakers and investors alike, this marks a pivotal moment in India’s journey toward macroeconomic stability and global financial leadership.

Eqwires Research Analyst

Top-notch SEBI registered research analyst

Best SEBI registered Intraday tips provider

info@eqwires.com

Telegram Facebook Instagram

Call: +91 9624421555 / +91 9624461555

www.eqwires.com

JSW Cement Shares List at Over 4% Premium on NSE — Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JSW Cement, the building materials arm of the JSW Group, made its stock market debut on August 14, 2025, with shares listing at ₹153.50 on the NSE—a 4.42% premium over the IPO price of ₹147. On the BSE, the stock opened at ₹153, marking a 4.08% gain. While the listing was in line with grey market expectations, the post-listing performance was subdued, with the stock slipping slightly below its opening price during intraday trade.

IPO Overview: Strong Demand, Moderate Listing

JSW Cement’s ₹3,600 crore IPO was a mix of:

  • ₹1,600 crore fresh issue
  • ₹2,000 crore offer for sale (OFS) by existing investors

The IPO was subscribed 7.77 times overall, with strong demand from:

  • Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs): 15.8x
  • Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs): 10.97x
  • Retail Investors: 1.81x

The company raised ₹1,080 crore from anchor investors ahead of the listing, including marquee domestic and global institutions.

Business Profile: Green Cement Leader with Expansion Plans

Founded in 2009, JSW Cement is among India’s fastest-growing cement manufacturers. It operates seven plants across India with an installed grinding capacity of 20.6 million tonnes per annum. Its product portfolio includes:

  • Portland Slag Cement (PSC)
  • Ground Granulated Blast Furnace Slag (GGBS)
  • Clinker and blended cements

JSW Cement holds an 84% market share in GGBS, positioning itself as a key player in India’s sustainable infrastructure push.

Use of IPO Proceeds

The company plans to deploy the fresh capital as follows:

  • ₹800 crore for a new integrated cement unit in Nagaur, Rajasthan
  • ₹520 crore for debt repayment
  • Remaining for general corporate purposes

As of March 2024, JSW Cement’s total debt stood at ₹5,835.76 crore.

Valuation and Market Cap

  • Post-issue market capitalization: ₹20,041 crore
  • Valuation: ~36.7x EV/EBITDA (FY25), considered aggressively priced by analysts

Expert Views: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Hold for Long-Term Gains

Narendra Solanki, Head of Research at Anand Rathi, recommends holding the stock: “JSW Cement’s synergies with the JSW Group, strategic plant locations, GGBS focus, and capacity expansion support long-term profitability.”

Caution on Valuation

While the company’s fundamentals are strong, analysts caution that the IPO was fully priced in, and short-term upside may be limited unless earnings growth accelerates.

Conclusion: What Should Investors Do?

JSW Cement’s listing reflects investor confidence in its green cement leadership and expansion strategy. However, given the premium valuation and muted post-listing performance, investors should consider the following:

New investors should monitor Q2 results and execution updates before making fresh allocations

Long-term investors may hold, especially if aligned with infrastructure and sustainability themes

Short-term traders may wait for technical confirmation or price stability before entering

Eqwires Research Analyst

Top-notch SEBI registered research analyst

Best SEBI registered Intraday tips provider

info@eqwires.com

Telegram Facebook Instagram

Call: +91 9624421555 / +91 9624461555

www.eqwires.com