Markets Slide as IT Stocks Weigh Down Sentiment; Sensex Drops 345 Points

Indian equity markets came under significant pressure on July 9, 2025, as benchmark indices closed lower amid broad-based selling, especially in heavyweight IT stocks. The BSE Sensex dropped 345 points to close at 76,785, while the NSE Nifty ended 98 points lower at 23,355.

The slide came after a four-day winning streak, as traders turned cautious ahead of key domestic earnings and global macroeconomic triggers.


IT Sector: The Biggest Drag

The major pullback was led by weakness in information technology stocks. Heavyweights like TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra saw profit-booking ahead of their Q1FY26 earnings reports later this week. Investors appear to be pricing in the impact of global spending slowdown and cautious outlooks from clients in the US and Europe.

  • TCS fell over 2.1%
  • Infosys slipped 1.8%
  • Wipro declined 2.4%
  • HCLTech shed nearly 1.5%

The Nifty IT index was among the worst-performing sectoral indices, falling over 2.2% intraday.


Other Sectoral Moves

While IT dragged the market, other sectors showed mixed action:

  • Banking and Financials remained resilient, with ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank gaining marginally.
  • Auto stocks witnessed profit-booking after recent highs.
  • FMCG and Pharma saw muted action as defensive bets offered some downside protection.

Broader Market and Market Breadth

The broader markets also mirrored the weakness in frontline indices:

  • The Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 fell by around 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively.
  • Market breadth remained negative, with declining stocks outnumbering gainers in a ratio of nearly 3:2 on the NSE.

Global Cues and Investor Sentiment

Investor sentiment was also influenced by global factors:

  • US markets remained volatile amid mixed data on employment and inflation.
  • Caution prevails ahead of US CPI data and the Federal Reserve’s policy stance, which could influence foreign institutional flows.
  • FII activity remained lukewarm, with some signs of profit booking after sustained inflows in June.

Technical Outlook

From a technical standpoint:

  • The Nifty faces immediate resistance near 23,500–23,600, while support is seen at 23,250–23,100.
  • Analysts suggest short-term consolidation or mild correction is possible, especially if largecaps continue to underperform.

What Should Investors Do?

Experts advise a cautious approach in the near term:

  • Await earnings from IT majors before taking fresh positions in the sector.
  • Maintain a stock-specific approach and focus on strong fundamentals.
  • Sectors like capital goods, defence, and select banks could continue to attract interest.

Conclusion

The Indian markets took a breather after a strong rally, weighed down primarily by the IT sector. As investors await crucial earnings updates and global cues, some consolidation is expected in the short term. However, the broader market trend remains optimistic for the long term, backed by domestic macro strength and improving corporate fundamentals.

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From $1 Billion to $4 Trillion: Nvidia’s Remarkable Market Cap Journey in 26 Years

Nvidia Corporation, once a relatively unknown chipmaker, has now emerged as one of the most valuable companies in history. From a modest market capitalization of $1 billion in the late 1990s, the company has surged past a staggering $4 trillion valuation in 2025 — a meteoric rise that has stunned markets and redefined the global semiconductor landscape.


A Humble Beginning: Founded in 1993

Nvidia was established in 1993 by Jensen Huang, Chris Malachowsky, and Curtis Priem. With an initial focus on computer graphics, the company introduced its first product, the NV1 graphics card, in 1995. While early success was moderate, the breakthrough came in 1999 when Nvidia launched the GeForce 256, the world’s first GPU (Graphics Processing Unit).


2000s: The GPU Revolution Begins

The 2000s saw Nvidia dominating the gaming graphics segment, with its GPUs becoming the preferred choice for PC gamers worldwide. The company went public in 1999 with a market capitalization of around $1 billion. By the end of the decade, Nvidia had cemented itself as a major force in graphics hardware, riding on the growing PC gaming trend.


2010s: From Gaming to AI & Data Centers

The real pivot for Nvidia came in the 2010s, when it recognized the potential of GPUs beyond gaming. Leveraging its parallel computing architecture, Nvidia’s chips became the backbone of artificial intelligence, deep learning, autonomous driving, and high-performance computing.

Partnerships with cloud giants like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft significantly expanded its data center business. By 2017, its valuation had crossed $100 billion, boosted by strong earnings and aggressive AI adoption across sectors.


2020–2022: AI Takes Center Stage

The post-COVID digital acceleration, along with increased demand for machine learning infrastructure, propelled Nvidia’s data center business. With the launch of its A100 and H100 GPUs, Nvidia became synonymous with AI acceleration.

Its chips were used to train and deploy models for voice assistants, language translation, autonomous vehicles, and most notably, large language models like ChatGPT and Bard.


2023–2025: The Rise of Generative AI and the $4 Trillion Milestone

By 2023, the AI boom had entered a new era with widespread commercial adoption of generative AI tools. Nvidia emerged as the biggest beneficiary, with companies around the globe scrambling to secure its high-performance GPUs.

In June 2024, Nvidia briefly overtook Microsoft and Apple to become the world’s most valuable company, driven by:

  • Explosive growth in data center sales
  • Huge demand from AI startups and hyperscalers
  • Strategic positioning in next-gen computing and robotics

As of mid-2025, Nvidia’s valuation has crossed the $4 trillion mark — an achievement that took just 26 years from its IPO.


What’s Driving Nvidia’s Unmatched Growth?

  1. Leadership in AI Hardware: Nvidia controls more than 80% of the market for AI chips, thanks to its CUDA platform and H-series accelerators.
  2. Expanding Software Ecosystem: Beyond hardware, Nvidia offers software stacks like Omniverse, AI frameworks, and simulation tools that deepen its enterprise moat.
  3. Diversification: From gaming to autonomous vehicles, data centers to robotics, Nvidia is embedded in nearly every forward-looking tech vertical.
  4. Strategic Acquisitions: While some acquisitions (like ARM) faced regulatory hurdles, others like Mellanox have significantly enhanced its data processing capabilities.

Challenges Ahead

Despite its success, Nvidia faces a few headwinds:

  • Geopolitical restrictions on chip exports (especially to China)
  • Growing competition from AMD, Intel, and emerging AI chip startups
  • Supply chain risks and global economic uncertainty

However, its first-mover advantage and continuous innovation pipeline offer a strong defense.


Conclusion

Nvidia’s journey from a $1 billion player to a $4 trillion tech titan reflects the transformative power of AI, innovation, and vision. It is not just a semiconductor company — it’s now at the heart of the global AI revolution.

As we look ahead, Nvidia’s continued dominance will likely depend on how it scales, diversifies, and leads in shaping the intelligent systems of the future.

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Infosys, TCS & Wipro: Will Q1 FY26 Signal a Revival?

As the Q1 FY26 earnings season begins, the performance of India’s top IT companies—Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Infosys, and Wipro—is in sharp focus. Investors are keen to see whether these firms can regain momentum amid global macro uncertainties, tariff risks, and evolving demand for digital transformation and AI-led services.


TCS: A Bellwether’s Barometer

TCS, India’s largest IT services exporter, is expected to post modest year-on-year growth in revenue and profit. Analysts estimate revenue growth of approximately 2.7–3.8 percent YoY and net profit growth around 1–3 percent YoY. While profit margins may dip compared to last year due to wage hikes and BSNL-related revenue normalization, sequential improvements are likely.

Key triggers for TCS include client spending patterns in North America and Europe, deal wins in cloud and AI, and management’s guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year. The market will also watch closely for commentary on the impact of potential tariffs on Indian IT exports.


Infosys: Walking a Cautious Path

Infosys has maintained a conservative outlook for FY26, with expected revenue growth in the flat to 3 percent range. This follows a weak Q4 FY25 performance and cautious client sentiment in key verticals such as BFSI and retail.

Q1 FY26 results are expected to show only marginal growth. While the company has been actively investing in GenAI capabilities, the impact on revenues may be gradual. Investors will closely monitor deal pipeline visibility and operating margin trends in this quarter.


Wipro: Under the Turnaround Lens

Wipro continues to face the challenge of reversing its recent underperformance. The new CEO’s strategy will be tested in Q1 FY26, particularly after weak Q4 FY25 results. Analysts expect Wipro to deliver flattish growth this quarter, with continued weakness in Europe and APAC regions.

This quarter could be pivotal in establishing whether the company’s turnaround plan is yielding early results. Investors will look for signs of improved deal flow, better execution, and strategic clarity.


Sector Overview: A Quarter of Transition

Overall, the Indian IT sector is expected to post modest Q1 results. While Tier-1 companies may report soft constant currency growth, mid-tier firms could outperform due to better agility and niche digital offerings. A favorable cross-currency environment may also provide some support to earnings.

This quarter is being seen as a “crossover phase” before a possible rebound in the second half of the fiscal year. The sector’s growth trajectory will heavily depend on the normalization of client budgets, AI adoption cycles, and global macro stability.


Key Factors to Watch

  • Client Budget Trends: Outlook for discretionary IT spending in key markets.
  • New Deal Wins: Especially in AI, cloud, and digital transformation.
  • Margin Trends: Wage hikes, cost optimization efforts, and operational efficiency.
  • Management Commentary: Guidance on full-year revenue and margin expectations.
  • Geopolitical Risks: Tariff implications and their potential effect on future contracts.

Conclusion

Q1 FY26 is shaping up to be a defining quarter for the IT sector. While immediate acceleration in growth may be limited, the groundwork for long-term momentum could be laid now through strategic investments and operational discipline.

Investors should adopt a selective approach, focusing on companies with strong execution, healthy deal pipelines, and a clear AI roadmap. If the top-tier players manage to stabilize, a broader sector revival could be on the horizon in the second half of FY26.

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Midcap Funds Lead the Surge: AMFI June 2025 Mutual Fund Highlights

India’s mutual fund industry witnessed strong momentum in June 2025, led by aggressive inflows into equity schemes. According to data released by the Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI), equity mutual fund inflows rose 24 percent month-on-month to ₹23,587 crore, up from ₹19,213 crore in May.

This rise was primarily driven by renewed retail participation, especially in midcap, smallcap, and flexi-cap categories.


Category-Wise Equity Inflows

  • Flexi-Cap Funds saw the highest inflow at ₹5,733 crore, a 49 percent increase compared to the previous month.
  • Small-Cap Funds attracted ₹4,024 crore, marking a 25 percent increase.
  • Mid-Cap Funds recorded ₹3,754 crore in net inflows, reflecting a 34 percent month-on-month jump.
  • Large-Cap Funds saw a modest ₹1,694 crore in inflows.
  • Sectoral/Thematic Funds added ₹2,222 crore in June, maintaining consistent interest.
  • ELSS (Equity-Linked Savings Scheme) continued to witness outflows, amounting to ₹556 crore, marking the third consecutive month of decline.

Industry-Wide Trends

  • Total mutual fund inflows, including equity, debt, and hybrid categories, stood at ₹49,301 crore in June, a sharp rise from ₹29,572 crore in May.
  • Overall AUM (Assets Under Management) touched a record ₹74.14 lakh crore, up 3 percent from the previous month.
  • Debt Funds saw reduced outflows, down to ₹1,711 crore from over ₹15,900 crore in May.
  • Hybrid Funds witnessed inflows of ₹23,222 crore, primarily due to arbitrage and balanced advantage fund categories.
  • Gold ETFs surged to ₹2,080 crore in inflows, reflecting increased interest in diversification amid global uncertainties.

Systematic Investment Plans (SIP)

SIPs continue to be the bedrock of mutual fund investments:

  • Monthly SIP inflow hit a record ₹27,269 crore, a 2.2 percent increase from May.
  • Total SIP accounts reached 8.64 crore, indicating rising participation from retail investors.

Key Observations

  • Midcap and smallcap segments are leading the current equity cycle, suggesting a higher risk appetite and expectations of stronger returns among retail investors.
  • The sharp jump in gold ETF inflows indicates hedging activity and increased demand for safe-haven assets.
  • SIPs remain consistent, reinforcing that investors are staying committed to long-term financial goals despite market volatility.
  • ELSS redemptions point to tax-season adjustments or shifting preferences toward non-tax-linked equity categories.

Conclusion

The June 2025 AMFI data highlights a broad-based revival in mutual fund participation, especially in mid- and small-cap equities. With inflows growing across asset classes and SIPs hitting record levels, market sentiment appears optimistic. However, the divergence in ELSS and debt fund trends reflects ongoing investor caution in certain segments. Going forward, macroeconomic stability, interest rate directions, and global cues will play a vital role in sustaining this momentum.

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Vedanta Stock Tanks 8% as Viceroy Research Shorts Parent’s Debt Exposure

Vedanta Ltd witnessed a sharp decline in its share price, falling as much as 8% intraday after U.S.-based short-seller Viceroy Research revealed a short position against its parent company, Vedanta Resources. This move has reignited concerns around corporate governance, debt sustainability, and financial transparency within the Vedanta Group structure.


Background: Why Did the Stock Fall?

Viceroy Research published a detailed report accusing Vedanta Resources of using its Indian-listed subsidiary, Vedanta Ltd, to service its debt obligations and dividends. According to the report:

  • Vedanta Resources allegedly drains cash through high dividend payouts.
  • The group’s structure has been described as financially unsustainable, with some comparisons to a Ponzi-like system.
  • Viceroy claimed over ₹758 billion has been paid in dividends by Vedanta Ltd and ₹573 billion by Hindustan Zinc over the last few years to meet group-level debt obligations.
  • With rising interest rates, the group’s ability to service debt without additional equity or asset sales is questioned.

Market Reaction

Vedanta Ltd’s stock dropped nearly 8% at its lowest point during the trading session before recovering partially. By the market close, the stock was still down around 4-5%. Other group entities like Hindustan Zinc also saw declines of up to 2-3%. The broader metal index closed lower as investor sentiment turned cautious.


Vedanta’s Response

Vedanta has strongly refuted Viceroy’s allegations, calling them baseless and speculative. The company asserted that the report contains misinformation and clarified that Viceroy did not engage with Vedanta before making the report public.

The company further highlighted its ongoing restructuring efforts, including:

  • A three-year roadmap to reduce standalone debt by $3 billion.
  • The ongoing demerger plan to simplify the corporate structure and unlock value for shareholders.

Analysts’ Perspective

Market analysts noted that while the Viceroy report did not present any groundbreaking new information, it brought previously known concerns back into focus. Vedanta’s high dividend policy, complex cross-holdings, and reliance on inter-company cash flows have long been scrutinized by investors.

Analysts suggest that the core operational businesses of Vedanta remain profitable, but transparency regarding capital allocation and intercompany transfers is essential to rebuild market confidence.


Key Data Points

MetricValue
Intraday FallUp to 8%
Debt Reduction Plan$3 billion over 3 years
Dividend Payouts (Vedanta Ltd)₹758 billion
Dividend Payouts (Hindustan Zinc)₹573 billion
Current Market Price (approx)₹436 per share
Dividend Yield (approx)9.9%

What Should Investors Do?

  • Stay Cautious: The short-seller report has revived concerns that could take time to fade.
  • Monitor Corporate Actions: Updates on the demerger, quarterly earnings, and debt-reduction measures will be key.
  • Watch Regulatory Movement: Any SEBI or RBI scrutiny based on the allegations could influence market sentiment further.

Conclusion

Vedanta’s stock has come under pressure after Viceroy Research’s short call, spotlighting long-standing issues related to its parent’s financial health and the group’s dividend practices. While the company has dismissed the report and laid out a roadmap for debt reduction and structural reform, investors must remain vigilant and await further clarity. Long-term sustainability and transparency will be essential to restore investor confidence.

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