Buy State Bank of India; target of Rs 900: Prabhudas Lilladher

SBI reported a soft quarter as core PPoP missed PLe by 8.2% due to miss on NIM/fees/opex although loan growth was superior. Asset quality was better and core PAT beat PLe by 9.2% as provisions were materially lesser since (1) lower net slippages led to controlled credit costs and (2) there was a provision write-back as a corporate account was upgraded from restructured. NIM was lower led by QoQ fall in CASA, rise in borrowings and sharp drop in international yields. As MCLR resets higher on a portion of loans in Q4FY25, domestic loan yields could improve, supporting NIM. Credit growth guidance is maintained at 14% for FY25; deposit growth was guided at 10% due to LDR cushion. We lower NIM for FY25/26/27 which would be offset by slight reduction in provisions.

Outlook

The stock is currently trading at 0.9x on Sep’26 core ABV; we lower multiple to 1.3x from 1.5x and trim SOTP-based TP to Rs900 from Rs1025. Retain ‘BUY’.

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Infosys forcefully terminates around 400 trainees in Mysuru, employees cry foul

Software major Infosys is in the process of laying off 400 trainees at its Mysuru campus after they failed evaluation tests in three consecutive attempts, according to sources familiar with the matter.

This is approximately half of the trainees onboarded in October 2024.

As it happens, the trainees were onboarded after a two-and-a-half-year-long wait, necessitated by a macroeconomic slowdown triggering clients of IT companies to halt spending on projects.

“At Infosys, we have a rigorous hiring process where all freshers, after undergoing extensive foundational training at our Mysuru campus, are expected to clear internal assessments. All freshers get three attempts to clear the assessment, failing which they will not be able to continue with the organisation, as is also mentioned in their contract. This process has been in existence for over two decades and ensures a high quality of talent availability for our clients,” Infosys said in a statement.

Trainees are being called in batches of around 50 and are being made to sign “mutual separation” letters, sources familiar with the matter told Moneycontrol.

“This is unjustified because the tests were very tough and made to fail us, many trainees have fainted as the future looks bleak now,” a trainee told Moneycontrol who was terminated.

Sources say the company has deployed bouncers and security personnel to ensure that the trainees do not carry mobile phones. However, Infosys clarified that bouncers were not deployed.

Trainees have been asked to vacate the premises by 6 PM, the sources said.

Nascent Information Technology Employees Senate (NITES) said it is filing an official complaint with the Ministry of Labour & Employment, demanding immediate intervention and strict action against Infosys.

“This blatant corporate exploitation cannot be allowed to continue, and we urge the government to take swift action to uphold the rights and dignity of Indian IT workers,” Harpreet Singh Saluja of NITES said in a statement.

The said trainees were recruited in the role of System Engineers (SE) and Digital Specialist Engineers (DSE).

India’s second-largest software exporter sent offer letters back in 2022 but did not on-board the candidates after the IT industry faced a slump. This phenomenon, however, is an industry-wide issue. Fears of a looming recession in IT companies’ major markets and the absence of discretionary spending led companies to pause hiring, leading to a multi-decadal decline in headcount.

On September 3, Infosys sent letters with joining dates to approximately 1,000 freshers from 2022 campus hires, just a day after it issued similar number of letters.

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Home loans to get cheaper as RBI cuts rates; Mumbai builders expect rise in demand in affordable and middle categories

Mumbai’s homebuyers are set to benefit from the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) decision to cut the repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25 per cent. Announced shortly after the Union Budget 2025, this move is expected to make home loans more affordable, encouraging greater investment in the mid and premium housing segments in the city.

Many believe that the rate cut decision after the tax savings announcements by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman in the Union Budget will lead to a higher demand in the affordable and the middle income segment housing.

With lower interest rates, banks are likely to reduce home loan EMIs, providing relief to first-time buyers in Mumbai, where high real estate prices often make purchasing a home challenging. Industry experts believe this reduction in borrowing costs will help boost housing demand in the city.

A rough calculation shows that a new home buyer taking a home loan of Rs 50 lakh will see his EMI outgo come down by Rs 846 a month if the rate goes down from 8.75 per cent to 8.5 per cent on a 25-year loan. The annual savings would amount to over Rs 10,000 in EMI outgo.

Kaushal Agarwal, Co-Founder and Director at The Guardians Real Estate Advisory, said, “The RBI’s decision to cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 6.25 per cent marks the first rate reduction in nearly five years. This move is expected to lower borrowing costs potentially making home loans more affordable and improving buyer sentiment. For developers, it could ease financial pressures and encourage new project launches.”

The rate cut is also expected to help developers as it would lower the cost of project financing, potentially leading to more competitive pricing in the real estate market. This thereby could make housing slightly more accessible for buyers in Mumbai.

“Lower borrowing costs will help developers manage project financing better and may encourage competitive pricing. This move, combined with recent tax benefits, is expected to drive market momentum and improve the affordability of homeownership, especially in the mid & premium segments,” said Ashwin N Sheth, CMD at Ashwin Sheth Group, a Mumbai-based real estate development company.

Beyond lower borrowing costs, the RBI has also introduced measures to tackle digital fraud in real estate. In recent years, homebuyers have faced risks from fake property listings and scams. The central bank’s emphasis on improving security in digital transactions is expected to enhance trust in the market.

Additionally, the RBI has projected inflation at 4.8 per cent for FY 2025 and 4.2 per cent for FY 2026, with an estimated GDP growth rate of 6.7 per cent. With this, a stable economic outlook is expected to further support the homebuyers.

With reduced home loan rates, increased liquidity, and stronger consumer confidence, Mumbai’s real estate market is poised for increased activity. Experts anticipate more buyers entering the market in the coming months, driving sales and boosting property investments across the city.

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