TCS share price jumps over 2% ahead of Oct-Dec quarter results; large deal wins, outlook on margins eyed

TCS share price jumped over 2 per cent to Rs 3,098.35 apiece today on BSE ahead of October-December quarter earnings. Earlier this week, Tata Consultancy Services stock price hit a 52-week high of Rs 3,114.45 per share. The Information Technology (IT) sector has been among one of the best performing sectors in FY21. The Nifty IT index has surged nearly 2 per cent to 25,727.10 levels. According to an analyst, generally, Q3 is a slack quarter for IT companies. AR Ramachandran, Co-founder & Trainer, Tips2trades told Financial Express Online that this time, investors are expecting the best quarterly performance from TCS along with other companies like Infosys, HCL Technologies and Wipro with dollar revenue growth of over 3% as against 1%.

According to Suyog Kulkarni, Senior Research Analyst, Reliance Securities, Nifty IT is likely to enjoy premium valuation versus broader market, driven by mid-term growth visibility, stable margins and consistent cash return policy.

Analysts at JM Financial Services expect a 2.3 per cent sequential growth with a 50 bps cross-currency gain. “We are building in a sequential EBIT margin contraction of 80 bps due to wage increments implemented from Oct 1 and slight INR appreciation. According to the domestic brokerage firm, key things to watch out for would be large deal TCV, outlook on CY21 client spending, and outlook on margins over the medium term.

Ramachandran also said that technically, if earnings remain as estimated, then he believes that it has been factored in the stock price. “Investors are advised to book profits on every rise,” he said.

From the 52-week low of Rs 1,504.40 apiece, TCS stock price has more than doubled, rising 106 per cent. Analysts at ICICI Securities expect Indian IT sector to deliver strong sequential revenue growth led by fewer-than-usual furloughs, and residual recovery from Covid decline over H1CY20. It also believes that product-related seasonality/large deal ramp-ups too should help in some cases and margins may remain stable.

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Asian stocks grind lower as focus shifts to Georgia Senate runoff

Asian shares edged lower on Tuesday amid uncertainty about Senate runoffs in Georgia, which could have a big impact on incoming U.S. President Joe Biden’s ability to pursue his preferred economic policies.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.05%, pulling back from a record high. Australian stocks fell 0.26%. Chinese shares erased early losses and rose 0.52%. In Hong Kong, China Mobile, China Unicom, and China Telecom rallied by more than 6% after the New York Stock Exchange abandoned plans to delist the companies’ shares from its bourse.

Japanese shares lost 0.34% after a spokesman said the government will reach a decision on a state of emergency for Tokyo and surrounding cities on Thursday to curb coronavirus infections.

U.S. S&P 500 stock futures edged up 0.03%. Euro Stoxx 50 futures were down 0.39%. German DAX futures fell 0.34%, and FTSE futures fell 0.26%. Oil futures were little changed in cautious trade as investors awaited a meeting later on Tuesday where major crude producers are set to decide output levels for February.

In the United States, control of the Senate is at stake with Tuesday’s dual runoff elections in Georgia. A Democratic victory in both races could tip control of the Senate away from Republicans, but both contests are very tight and the results may not be immediately known, which could lead to a repeat of the chaotic vote re-counts after the U.S. presidential election last year. “2021 starts with a bang with pivotal political and economic news for markets to digest. The undisputed highlight will be the result of the Senate seat run-off elections in Georgia,” James Knightley, chief international economist at ING, wrote in a research memo.

“If the Democrats win both seats this should lead to the most substantial 2021 fiscal stimulus. Nonetheless, it could be the excuse for a near-term consolidation in risk markets after a strong post-election rally.”

Uncertainty about the Georgia vote and worries about rising coronavirus infections sent Wall Street sharply lower on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.27%, the S&P 500 lost 1.49%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped by 1.48%. Outgoing Republican President Donald Trump’s call to pressure Georgia’s top election official to “find” votes to overturn his loss to President-elect Biden in the state has also unnerved some investors.

The House and the Senate are scheduled to certify Biden’s election win on Wednesday, but some Republicans have pledged to vote against this and thousands of Trump supporters are expected to converge on the capital in protest.

The MSCI’s broadest gauge of global stocks was unchanged, sitting just below a record reached in the previous session. Increased risk aversion helped the dollar index rebound from a 2 1/2-year against a basket of major currencies, but moves were subdued at the start of the year.

The British pound bought $1.3591, recovering some of Monday’s losses after Prime Minister Boris Johnson ordered a lockdown to try and slow a fast-spreading coronavirus variant.

U.S. crude futures were little changed at $47.61 a barrel, while Brent futures edged down by 0.1% to $51.04 per barrel. Major oil producers will meet later on Tuesday to decide on output levels for February after talks broke down the previous day. Gold was slightly lower. Spot gold fell 0.16% to $1,939.25 per ounce.

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RIL share price gains 1.5% today after Reliance-BP start gas production from Asia’s deepest project

Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) share price gained 1.5 per cent to Rs 2,022 apiece in the morning deals on BSE today, taking the total market capitalisation to Rs 12.74 lakh crore. On Friday, after market hours, Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries and BP announced the commencement of gas production from an ultra-deep-water gas field in block KG D6 R-Field of Krishna Godavari basin. In another development, the oil-to-telecom conglomerate will set up the ‘Greens Zoological Rescue and Rehabilitation Kingdom’ in Jamnagar district. MK Das, Additional Chief Secretary to the chief minister said at the virtual conference to mark ASSOCHAM foundation week on Friday, that this will be one of the world’s biggest zoos in terms of number and species of animals and spread over 250 acres in Jamnagar, according to PTI.

Around 9.55 AM, RIL shares were trading 1.3 per cent up at Rs 2,018 apiece on BSE, as compared to a 0.05 per cent rise in S&P BSE Sensex. In the previous week, RIL along with Hindustan Unilever Ltd witnessed erosion from the market valuation. While RIL remained at the top in the ranking of most valued firms last week. RIL share price hit a 52-week low of Rs 867.82 apiece on March 23 on the back of COVID-19 induced lockdown. The stock rose to Rs 2,368.80 apiece, an all-time high, in September this year. With today’s gain, RIL shares are up 133 per cent from March lows.

Earlier this month, during the India Mobile Congress event, Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) chairman Mukesh Ambani pitched for policy interventions to shift 30 crore 2G users to 5G in India. Ambani also said that the Indian economy will soon bounce back and prove cynics wrong by becoming a $5 trillion economy. Ambani also announced that Reliance Jio will launch 5G services in the second half of 2021 in India, which will be powered by the indigenous network, hardware and technology components.

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